AgileTwoPointZero

In this workshop we apply the steps from The Art of the Long View - Planning the Future in an Uncertain World by Peter Schwartz for moving into an anticipatory stance. In an anticipatory stance we imagine aiming at several likely targets to predict likely effects of our aiming and shooting stances for a particular product we are to deliver. This way of aiming and shooting is highly recommended for producing secure and reliable products. Perhaps even required. The objective of this workshop is to take the longer view in agile projects, and building of in(ter)dependent value webs weaving our agile purposes.

Session Data

If you are interested in co-organizing and/or participating in this session, please place your name in the appropriate place in this section. If you have questions, you can ask us on the bottom of this page.

• Duration: 4 hours (including breaks)
• Type: Applied practice session
• Area: Advanced Practices
• Intended audience: Journeyman and Master desiring to look forward
• Maximum number of participants: 20
• Co-Organisers: MarkoVanDerPuil, WillemVanDenEnde, NynkeEtkFokma
• Participants: ...

Benefits

• Creating more agile in(ter)dependent business strategies.
• Presencing the future of agile projects with scenario planning.
• Making adaptive choices.
• Experiencing an anticipatory stance.

Choreography

After a brief introduction to scenario planning, the body of the session consists of going through each step of scenario planning, with a brief explanation followed by working on agile strategies as a case-study.

We reserve ample time after the planning exercise to reflect on our experience. At the end of the workshop, we create a summary of our results, which we use as basis for write-ups, metaphorical maps, and articles afterwards.

• Welcome and Introduction
• Concrete experience
  • Step one: Identify focal issue: Creating more agile in(ter)dependent business strategies
  • Step two: Key forces in (local) environments
  • Step three: Driving forces
  • Step four: Rank by importance and uncertainty
  • Step six: Fleshing out the scenario's
  • Step seven: Implications
  • Step eight: Selection of leading indicators and signposts
• Reflective observations on scenario planning experience
• Generalizations about experiences
• Conclusions & wrap-up

Preparation

To prepare, we are gathering key forces in (local) environments and driving forces for our focal issue. Feel free to add links below on demographical, geographical, military, political and industrial information, on mineral reserves, on social, technical and political trends, and on subjective interpretations of facts, shifts in values, new regulations or inventions.

Demographical, geographical, military, political and industrial information

• Conflict in a changing world (pdf)
• Genova, the Azores and our Common Future
• A Dialog about the future with non-government experts (CIA)

• BBC program Power of Nightmares:
• Baby It's Cold Outside
• Phantom Victory
• The Shadows In The Cave
• Soul of a New Machine

• Providing Live and Updated Critical Intelligence

Financial Sector

• I want the Earth plus five percent
• Nesara (do they actually do something?)
• Private Enterprise Money
• Read about microbanks and microloans - The Grameen Bank in India
• Ripple
• The Transitioner Wiki

Mineral reserves and environment

• Alaska Village Moves from Diesel to 'Micro-Nuke'
• Mankind sleepwalking to the end of the Earth
• Pure Energy Systems
• Energy of the Future
• Pure Energy Wiki

Social, technical and political trends

• Corporation as Psychopath
• Agile Alliance in US and Europe
• ATWG starting a network in Europe

• Avanta starting in Europe
• Ashoka
• IBM taking open source on world tour

Observed shifts in values

• AgileValues
• Foundation for a Free Information Infrastructure
• Bird life indicators for tracking environmental trends

New inventions and tools

• Short wave with crank batteries/solar power

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